NY Times: 72% Chance Republicans to Control House, Many Gubernatorial Takeovers Likely

From the NY Times FiveThirtyEight blog:

"Our model now estimates that the Republicans have a 72 percent chance of taking over the House, up from 67 percent last week. Moreover, they have nearly even odds of a achieving a net gain of 50 seats; their average gain in a typical simulation run was between 47 and 48 seats."

The blog's model also forecasts a 76 percent chance that Democrats will control at least 50 Senate seats, and is predicting a greater than 50% chance that Democrats will lose in governors' races to Republicans in at least ten states (WY, KS, OK, IA, TN, MI, PA, WI, OH, and NM), see graphic above.

Check out the blog's "Forecast Center" on the right side of the page for lots of detailed projections, interactive maps, etc.