Intrade Odds Now 15:1 That Reps Will Take House

Updated: Republicans need to gain 39 seats to control the House of Representatives after the midterm elections.  The chart above shows the current Intrade odds for the Republicans gaining different numbers of seats from "35 or more" to "60 or more." The chances of a 40-seat Republican gain are now 93.9%, meaning Intrade odds are 15:1 in favor of the Republicans controlling the House after the November elections. The chances of a 50-seat gain are now 80%, and a gain of 55 seats is now above 50%.